Montenegro’s airport authority is gearing up for a substantial increase in passenger traffic as it approaches 2026, driven by a strategic vision that includes nearly €15 million in planned investments. The forecast anticipates a notable rise in passenger numbers and revenues; however, concerns persist regarding the ability to translate this growth into profitability and manage the increased demand within existing airport capacity constraints.
Aerodromi Crne Gore has set a target of handling approximately 3.63 million passengers in 2026, marking an 18 percent increase from the previous year. The number of aircraft rotations is expected to reach 14,384, reflecting a 15 percent rise. This growth is particularly crucial for Montenegro’s tourism sector, which relies heavily on air travel, although it is worth noting that the expansion is not evenly distributed across the country’s airports. Most of the projected growth is concentrated at Podgorica Airport, while Tivat Airport is anticipated to remain stable compared to 2025.
Podgorica Airport is projected to accommodate around 2.29 million passengers in 2026, a significant 31 percent increase, with 8,786 rotations—up by 25 percent. This will position Podgorica as the primary aviation hub in Montenegro, capturing 61.4 percent of total airport traffic. In contrast, Tivat Airport’s forecast stands at approximately 1.34 million passengers, showing little change from the prior year and only a modest increase of 2 percent in rotations.
The focus on Podgorica as the main growth driver has implications for various aspects of tourism infrastructure, including road connectivity and hotel distribution. Increased passenger traffic through Podgorica could lead to enhanced year-round connectivity; however, it also necessitates improved transportation options to coastal resorts and other tourist destinations.
A significant factor in this growth plan is the anticipated establishment of a Wizz Air base at Podgorica Airport starting March 30, 2026. This development will introduce 17 new routes and is expected to enhance operational capacity further. Other airlines such as Enter Air, Ryanair, and Flyone are also expected to contribute to increased rotations at Podgorica. Meanwhile, Tivat’s growth will primarily involve carriers like Uzbekistan Airways and Fly Dubai.
The cautious approach taken by Aerodromi Crne Gore is evident in its financial planning, which assumes moderate growth rather than relying on the most optimistic scenarios presented by airlines. The revenue projections indicate total revenues of €65.93 million—15 percent above 2025 levels—with operating revenues estimated at €47.3 million (an increase of 8 percent). However, gross aviation revenues are tempered by €18.06 million in airline discounts under an incentive scheme designed to attract carriers.
This incentive model raises questions about long-term economic returns for Montenegro despite boosting passenger numbers. While traffic increases are expected, profit margins may not expand proportionately due to various operational costs and external factors affecting airline performance.
The planned investment strategy emphasizes practical enhancements rather than transformative changes needed to address long-term capacity issues. The public procurement plan for 2026 includes €21.3 million earmarked for goods and services, with €16.8 million allocated for fixed-asset investments aimed at improving operational resilience and safety compliance.
Despite these investments focusing on immediate operational needs—such as baggage handling systems and security equipment—the fundamental challenges regarding airport capacity remain unaddressed. A more comprehensive strategy involving potential concessions or private investment may be necessary to secure the required funding for significant infrastructure improvements.
As Montenegro continues to navigate its aviation landscape amidst geopolitical uncertainties affecting travel markets, maintaining robust air connectivity will be vital for sustaining its tourism-driven economy. The upcoming years will test whether Montenegro can effectively manage increased passenger volumes while ensuring that service quality and profitability keep pace with growth ambitions.
